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The financial news continues to reveal the nuanced and complex landscape within which electric car manufacturers are operating, specifically focusing on TeslaOn January 29, 2024, Tesla released its fourth-quarter earnings report for the year 2024 - a moment highly anticipated by investors and industry watchers alike.
Upon the release of the report, Tesla’s stock initially took a dive, falling by five percent due to disappointing figures that largely fell short of Wall Street expectationsHowever, what followed was a notable rebound, with the stock rallying close to five percent by the end of tradingThis seesaw in performance reflects the mixed sentiments among investors, especially around the long-term potential of Tesla's automotive business and its ambitious plans for the future.
In terms of key financial indicators, the revenue reported was a modest growth of two percent year-on-year, totaling $25.71 billion for the quarter, which was considerably less than the anticipated $27.21 billion
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This slowdown is significant, considering Tesla's meteoric rise in prior yearsAdjusted earnings per share (EPS) stood at $0.73, slightly below the expected figures of $0.75, marking a three percent growth year over year.
Tesla’s operating profit showed a stark decline of 23%, coming in at $1.58 billion, also underperforming against estimates of $2.68 billionThe company attributed this shortfall primarily to the declining average sale prices of its popular models, namely the Model 3, Model Y, Model S, and Model XCompounding the situation, net income plummeted 71% to $2.32 billion, laid bare when compared to $7.93 billion from the same period last year which had benefited from a substantial one-off non-cash tax benefit of $5.9 billion.
Moreover, gross margin shrinkage was evident with an operating profit margin narrowing to 6.2%, down from 8.2% a year earlierThe gross profit margin reported was 16.3%, falling short of the expected 18.9% and lower than the previous year’s figure of 17.6%. Capital expenditures, however, rose by 21% to $2.78 billion, surpassing market expectations of $2.72 billion
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Interestingly, free cash flow reached $2.03 billion, which was a 1.6% decline year-over-year but still better than analyst estimates.
Diving deeper into Tesla's core automotive segment, revenues fell by 8% to $19.8 billion, where $692 million came from regulatory credit salesExcluding these credits, the automotive gross margin stood at 13.6%, underscoring concerns about the health of Tesla’s main business operations.
On a brighter note, Tesla's energy division showed impressive growth, with revenues soaring 113% year-over-year to $3.06 billionThis impressive rise bolstered by extensive deployment of its Powerwall products reflects a broader push into energy solutions that could position Tesla as a major player in renewable energy sectors.
The conversation turned towards Tesla's relentless push for autonomous drivingCEO Elon Musk disclosed during the earnings call plans for a pilot of the fully autonomous driving (FSD) system in Austin, Texas, which would not require human supervision
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This ambitious step is set to be charged as a premium service with wide potential implications for Tesla’s revenue models in the coming years.
Musk's remarks suggested that Tesla’s forecast includes ambitions for rolling out a supervised version of FSD in China and Europe by 2025, a strategy that demonstrates confidence in the company’s technological capabilities as well as a commitment to achieving regulatory compliance across different regions.
Notably, Tesla disclosed record vehicle deliveries in the Chinese market during the fourth quarter, which appears vital for its sustained growthThe optimism surrounding Tesla's energy storage deployment plans, projected to grow by at least 50% this year, adds to a more positive outlookFurthermore, Musk hinted at the expectation that the awaited Cybertruck will meet IRS standards for consumer tax credits in the US.
Analysis from industry experts suggested that the revelations regarding Tesla's autonomous technology and new model production were pivotal in enticing investors, causing a significant reversal in post-earnings stock performance.
Despite these optimistic developments, the looming challenges ahead cannot be overlooked
CFO revealed caution regarding impacts of tariffs on profitability, indicating that price sensitivity remains a primary concern for Tesla’s customer baseThe ongoing challenge of optimizing production costs while ensuring firm demand amid growing competition is evident in Tesla's ongoing strategies.
The fourth quarter of 2024 marked an inflection point, where Tesla's delivery numbers were nearly 495,600 vehicles, culminating in an estimated total of 1.8 million deliveries for the entire year—a first for the company to encounter a dip in annual delivery totalsTo counteract the rising inventory, Tesla had resorted to significant price reductions for models like the Model Y in China, in addition to launching updated versions to entice consumer interest further.
Moreover, the pervasive sentiment highlighted within the discussions post-earnings indicates a nuanced perception amongst analysts about Tesla’s reliance on regulatory credits — which constitute a substantial portion of operating profit